mborchers at igillc.com
Tue Oct 19 10:52:27 EDT 2004
> Hi, folks. I've used a variety of network management tools, both
> commercial and open sourced. So far, I've only come across
> one that graphs
> trend lines for utilization for forecasting, and this is with Lucent's
> Is anyone else aware of any other tools, preferably
> open sourced,
> that can graph trend lines to anticipate usage 3-6 months out?
> Apparently, RRDTool/Cricket fully supports the Holt-Winters
> algorithm, which can be configured to display the confidence
> bands to report
> on aberrant data, but the time scale is still based on actual usage.
The last time I checked, Vitalsuite appeared to be a straight linear
extrapolation of current traffic measurements into the future. Classic
GIGO, with wild variations in future trends showing up as a result of
the September effect and so forth.
IMHO, the bad news is that if you want a judicious projection, you
have to go into a spreadsheet with some educated guesses about expected
changes in bandwidth utilization per user, subscriber growth,
specific trends, and the like in order to get a more refined number for
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